Posts Tagged ‘customer behavior’

Creating a Customer Centric Supply Chain

This article, by our own Linda Whitaker, was published in RIS News»

As retailers seek out new business tactics to lure back the customers they lost during the recession, they will find that one of the most profitable strategies is creating a customer-centric supply chain.

However, one reality retailers must face is that the recession has created a new consumer paradigm. According to a new report by PricewaterhouseCoopers and Retail Forward, entitled “The New Consumer Behavior Paradigm: Permanent or Fleeting,” customers will not bounce back to their old shopping habits, as “seventy-two percent of all shoppers recently indicated that their shopping behavior has changed significantly or somewhat as a result of the economic environment”. The report suggests that shoppers will be more deliberate and purposeful in their spending, giving way to a more practical consumerism. However, it also predicts that these shopper behaviors may change as the recession eases.

Since we know no one can foretell the future to know exactly how and when behaviors will change, our take on this study is that consumer behaviors have changed and will continue to change, and that retailers need to actively seek new ways to engage them (especially the younger generations), and be ready to continually adjust their product mix accordingly.

With this new paradigm in mind, retailers must take a step back from their businesses to understand how to engage today’s new consumer.

Some questions that retailers should ask themselves:

What are your customers looking for when they walk into the store? Why are they buying that item? Does their buying strategy map to the one you have for the product? What are they not buying? How much are they buying? How often are they buying? Are they buying it at the same store?

To fulfill changing customer demand in your supply chain, you have to start at the store, and it comes down to the two basics: breadth and depth.

What and Where:

There are the tried and true ideas behind why customers select a certain product (the customer product strategy) when supporting customer demand: Price, impulse buys, destination items, etc. But customers today have a huge wealth of information at hand when deciding what to buy, and therefore they can include many new inputs (as well as the tried and true). These customer demand choices indicate their product preferences, and will be inputs into the customer buying strategy, and hence need to be included in your product strategy.

Preferential signals (Inputs to the customer strategy): Price, convenience, fashion-forward, technological, locally made, organic/sustainable, ethical, necessity, value, quality, size, color, style, brand, culture.

Ideally, you have a host of customer data that lets you not only map customers to purchases, but also link the changing customer buying strategy with your product strategy, and this may be different by location. If you do not have customer transaction and purchase information, you can use product/store level demand as a proxy, perhaps supported with market data. It will be important in this changing environment that these product/location strategies are continually monitored and updated.

Once you can assign the product strategy at a location level, you can tackle the breadth issue, i.e. the assortment. Most retailers cannot operationally manage unique store level assortments, and need to assign clusters that are often constrained. Care, supported by process, timely information, and optimal systems are needed to manage the conflicts between desired ranges, and operational constraints: space, fixtures, and assortment planning groups.

How Much and When:

When you assign a strategy to a product/location to drive assortment decisions, this same strategy should be used to drive depth. For example, a key destination item may need a very high service level so that your customer will not be disappointed.

In order to best meet these strategies and keep inventory performance high, the time phased aspects of the local customer demand need to be taken into account:

Circumstantial signals: The time of day or week activity occurs, holidays, local events and promotions, sports schedules, weather, seasonality and regional demand.

Putting it all Together

Retailers need to have the ability to assess and continually change with the patterns at each store based on the local signals and behaviors of their customers. In order to increase margin, achieve proper stock levels and align assortments with customer demand, top down simplifications in the inventory planning process must be removed.

Stores that can quickly process customer behavior and turn it into inventory execution will have an immense advantage in today’s marketplace. This means creating a dynamic inventory plan that is highly reactive to local demand fluctuations, allowing the retailer to be flexible and respond to how their customers are behaving now. This enables the customer to have product available when and where they want it, in the right size, the right color, and the right style at every store and in every channel.

Linda Whitaker, Chief Scientist, Quantum Retail, is one of the leading practitioners of retail science in the country. She provides the research, innovation and advanced science for Quantum Retail’s solutions. Prior to co-founding Quantum Retail, Linda spent the past 17 years developing optimization and scientific solutions for complex retail problems in replenishment, logistics, pricing, promotion and consumer behavior at Retek Inc. and HNC.

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The Profit Lab: Is allocating to a plan a good plan?

THE PROFIT LAB // Top 10 Ways to Pull Profit from Allocation

Strategy #6: Update plans with changes in customer demand as frequently as possible

There’s no disputing that having a good plan is important in retail. In the context of allocation within retail – especially fashion retail – it’s common to see adetailed plan as the driver of allocation execution. The philosophy is sound: invest in creating a solid plan that you can simply execute to. Unfortunately few tools enable users to manage detailed plans with the appropriate metrics and frequency to keep up with changes in demand.

In the last two or three years the pace of change in customer behavior has increased dramatically. Over this time the use of last year data has not been a valid indicator of trends, especially when servicing individual stores. Customers are changing their buying patterns regularly and in many cases the entire demographic makeup of shoppers in stores has shifted. The only way to keep up with these variations is more frequent updates to our understanding of customer behavior.

Traditional store planning approaches are not suited to being updated as frequently as needed to keep up with these changes. This is especially true when we are updating detail level plans to drive allocation. Allocating to an outdated plan that doesn’t reflect what demand will be is not of much help when striving to achieve strategic company objectives such as increasing volume, turns or profitability.

The underlying objective of these plans is often to ensure a presentation or image is maintained or to set a capacity ceiling in given locations. This process can often be shifted to (and is often better served in) assortment planning processes. When that objective is accommodated, the remainder of allocation execution must be more responsive than a static, manually managed store plan can be. What can you do to understand and respond to the rapid changes in customer behavior?

What you can do now

The simple answer is to update your store plans more frequently. Much more easily said than done (if feasible at all) within resource and time constraints.

Another option to consider is to change the role of your store plans. If you can limit them to becoming vehicles to define only higher level image, presentation and/or capacity requirements by driving min and/or max parameters, you then may be able to free up your allocation system to interpret the trends within recent activity and weigh them more heavily into the final allocation decision. This is true for both initial allocations as well as in season allocations. It may even be possible to shift the responsibility of defining these parameters into other, existing planning activities such as assortment planning. If that happens, you can free up valuable time to do more analysis and determine superior allocation criteria. While you may still be limited in how reactive you can be, this can enable you to continue supporting brand or lifestyle images while increasing your ability to be more responsive to the constantly changing trends of individual stores and products.

What you should consider when looking for new capabilities

The objectives of maintaining an image while still being responsive to unique store/product demand can often be difficult to balance. Technology has come a long way over the last 5 or so years in its ability to apply more intelligence to defining and solving these problems.

Look for the ability to understand, interpret and execute to changes in store and product behavior at a very granular level. With the pace of shopping patterns changing so rapidly, manual planning and updating can’t meet the objective of allocation anymore. Modern software can define the strategic economic objectives of individual products and allow allocation to maintain an image while still being free to react to the most current reality of customer shopping patterns.

In fashion this means going beyond historical sales activity. As discussed earlier in this series, understanding historical demand is hugely important to making the right decisions going forward. Even store plans created by product that could be updated daily would not be as effective as they should be if they’re based on historical sales rather than demand. Understanding behavior also means gaining insight into the seasonal characteristics of products and stores and understanding the unique selling patterns across the lifecycle of individual products.

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Fashion Innovation Series: Part 2 – Assortment Planning and Range Planning Localization

This is the part 2 of a 4 part series on Fashion Innovation and Optimization.

KEY TOPICS IN THIS SERIES:

  1. Size & Pack Optimization
  2. Assortment & Range Planning
  3. In-season Replenishment
  4. Allocation Optimization

Look out for part 3 next week, to read part 1 – CLICK HERE. Please engage, start a discussion, or leave a comment if you like this post.

Assortment and Range Planning Localization

Customer behavior has changed…unfortunately retailer processes and systems have not kept up with the pace of that change. The way that stores are assorted needs to change – to reflect how and where the customer now wants to shop and what they want to spend their money on.

Retailers need to focus on changing the way that they plan their assortment and identify opportunities to align their offering with their customers, to drive profitability of every product in every store. To achieve this, retailers need to identify not only the financial objectives for each product in their assortment, but also the merchandise objectives – as these are key to creating a credible offering in the eye of the consumer.

The most important, but over-looked questions for assortment optimization today:

Why is this product in my assortment?

What strategies do I have in place to decide what products to include?

How am I measuring the performance of my assortment on a continuous basis?

How will this product perform in the future?

How am I aligning my assortment with local demand?

When retailers align both the breadth and depth of their merchandise offering with the localized demand of their customers, it increases full price sales and product availability, and ultimately lowers markdown spend.

There are two main areas in planning that retailers should focus right now:

Sku rationalization //

How well is the breadth of the offering aligned to the customer? It is important to identify where you have too many or too few choices for the customer and have the flexibility to execute on those decisions. If you are not doing this, you are creating both markdowns and lost sales. Retailers need to keep this flexibility and continuously monitor the profitability and contribution of each product. This will allow each store to reveal its own patterns and tell the retailer how to best align their SKUs with local demand.

Localizing inventory //

The customer is the most important element of today’s retail strategies. In order to compete in today’s market – retailers of all verticals need to focus on availability and local consumer behaviors. This kind of granular detail cannot be obtained with traditional, data aggregating systems. Retailers need to remove the simplification from their inventory planning process and focus on real-time local demand. This means creating a dynamic inventory plan that is highly reactive to local demand fluctuations, allowing the retailer to be flexible and respond to how their customers are behaving now. This allows the customer to have product available when and where they want it, in the right size, the right color, and the right style at every store and in every channel.

5 Ways to Innovate Assortment Planning

1. Optimizing inventory:

Retailers need to focus on optimizing their assortments and shaping their offering based on both the merchandise and financial objectives of those products. Many retailers are focused on shrinking their offering, but fewer wrong products will not create more sales, it will only frustrate customers. Investing in the right brands and the right products will ultimately bring new energy to the retail market. Understanding exactly where the offering should be contracted or expanded is they key to achieving those goals.

2. Better placing inventory:

Some of the best retailers have not scaled back on their inventory investments, but focused instead on where to place their inventory. Over the last year, ‘flat’ was the new ‘good’, but by putting inventory where there is demand, retailers can increase their sales and profit, while better serving their customers at the same time. Retailers can also hold back inventory to see where it is performing best – and use precision placement of their remaining inventory to increase profit and create fewer markdowns.

3. Increasing availability:

Focusing on which products need to be made available at what locations and when is a difficult task. But when the right products are available, in the right sizes and colors and in the right amounts, stores increase sales and increase customer service levels.

4. Focusing on the intelligent consumer:

The market has shifted with the intelligence of consumers. The economy has further focused the customer on seeking out the highest value for the lowest cost. The environment has also brought to light new values and new criteria that the customer has begun to judge products on. Retailers need to recognize the needs of their customers and give them products that meet these new expectations – and remember, these expectations will continue to change.

5. Focusing on newness:

If a retailer can continually have something new for the customer to see, it will increase the frequency of customer visits and increase turn rates. This is especially important in fashion and consumer electronics, where customers have become increasingly knowledgeable and demanding. If a retailer can keep up with the pace of fashion, they’ll be able to keep their inventory fresh and unique.

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Learn how to implement better planning practices to manage the breadth of your assortment

Chris Allan, Chief Strategy Officer, Quantum Retail

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Are you ready to know exactly what your customers are asking for at every location and to have the ability to react as their wants change? If you are looking for a solution that can drive momentum for your business this year, check out the solutions offered by Quantum Retail. Our customers see valuable results in 8 to 12 weeks and our implementation approach gives your team access to the system from early on, so you can manage changes to your processes with ease. Quantum Retail continues to help all of its clients drive positive business value more rapidly than anything seen in retail.

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5 tips for developing a real-time response plan for customer behavior

By Greg Wilson, Director of Field Strategy, Quantum Retail

1. Set objectives –

Each product should have a role with specific objectives that can be measured and executed to. A product may be in your assortment to drive traffic, to generate profitability, to present an image or to opportunistically acquire impulse sales. Each of these roles come with unique objectives that can result in different inventory requirements.

2. Shift focus –

While forecast accuracy is important, it is not the only way to improve inventory placement. If you are adjusting forecasts to achieve different inventory results, you’re already reacting to this fact. Shift focus to finding the best way to utilize inventory to achieve goals while understanding forecast accuracy and variability are realities.

3. Waste not –

Get a deeper understanding of the impact of waste on your inventory decisions and act on it. Depending on margin, it may be more profitable to accept additional waste on some products, while other products would be better served accepting an occasional lost sale.

4. Get local –

There is no substitute for understanding product behavior at local levels. There are many ways to improve this understanding but consider those which have the most impact including:

Seasonality - If you’re working to static, periodically generated seasonality profiles, you have a great opportunity for improvement.

Time of day – Did you stock out? When? What did that mean in missed opportunities for sales? Can you replenish again today? The more detail you have in answering these questions the more efficient you can make your inventory – especially for short life, short lead time merchandise.

Day of week – Does this location have a weekend traffic boost? Does that product respond to the pattern? Understand these interactions invariably leads to better performance.

Weather impact - Does this product react differently on cold days or wet days? What does that mean to demand? And how should that affect how stores are supplied? If I can ship it tomorrow and I know it’s going to be hot, what’s the right decision? We all know these realities exist, but have you been able to execute to the reality?

5. Revisit and rationalize –

Product behavior constantly changes with the changing consumer. The item that fulfilled it’s role last year or last quarter may not be doing so now. You need to be alerted to situations where this change is happening, and have a mechanism to understand and react to the way that impacts your offerings to customers.

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For more information on customer behavior – check out our RESOURCE LIBRARY.

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